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FPL Price Change Predictor 2026/27: How the Live Tool Works

By Elie S·premier-league, fantasy-football, news
Draft Fantasy transfer market showing available Premier League players

The official FPL Price Change Predictor is now live for 2026/27. Log in to Fantasy Premier League and select Price Changes to see which players are moving towards a price rise or fall.

The predictor uses official FPL transfer activity and updates every 15 minutes. It is a timing guide rather than a guarantee, so use it alongside minutes, fixtures and team news before making a transfer.

The feature was launched by the Premier League after the Gameweek 1 deadline. For other squad-building data, visit our free FPL tools, including the FPL DEFCON comparison tool.

What is the official FPL Price Change Predictor?

The predictor is an official Fantasy Premier League page that tracks every player's progress towards the next price rise or drop.

It shows current progress as a percentage calculated from official transfer activity. After a calibration period of at least one Gameweek, FPL says it will also show a predicted progress percentage. Labels such as “Very Likely to Rise” and “Likely to Drop” translate the data into a quicker status.

This is the first official FPL tool dedicated to predicting price changes. Third-party services have estimated changes for years, but they have had to infer the unpublished thresholds from player ownership and observed changes.

Is the FPL Price Change Predictor live?

Yes. The predictor became available after the Gameweek 1 deadline on 21 August 2026.

To find it:

  1. log in on the Fantasy Premier League website;
  2. select Price Changes in the main navigation; and
  3. filter the table by your team, your watchlist or all players.

Player prices were locked before the Gameweek 1 deadline. They can now rise or fall at the daily price-change update.

What does the predictor show?

The main table lists every player and can be filtered to show:

  • players in your team;
  • players on your watchlist; or
  • the full player pool.

Price-change status also appears on individual player profiles. FPL says the Pick Team and Transfers screens will include a price-change view, letting managers check their own squad as part of the normal transfer workflow.

What does a percentage over 100 mean?

According to the Premier League, anything above 100 per cent indicates that the player is expected to pass the rise or fall threshold at the next 00:00 UK update.

It still does not guarantee a change.

For example, a player could display 105 per cent shortly before midnight, then receive enough late transfers in the opposite direction to move back below the estimated threshold. FPL explicitly describes the predictor as a guide.

Treat the status as evidence for timing a move, not a promise that the price will change.

How often is the FPL predictor updated?

The predictor page updates every 15 minutes. Player price changes happen once per day at 00:00 UK time.

The percentage can move in either direction as managers continue buying and selling players. A stale screenshot or an update from earlier in the day may no longer represent the current position.

The most important limitation remains the same: predicted progress is not the only factor in a good transfer.

Should you make an early transfer to avoid a price rise?

Sometimes, but price protection has a cost.

An early transfer can secure a player before a rise and preserve team value. It also exposes your squad to injuries, rotation news and other information that arrives before the next deadline.

Before moving early, consider:

  • whether the player is likely to start;
  • whether either club has another match before the FPL deadline;
  • how much the possible price change affects your planned move;
  • whether you would still want the player at the higher price; and
  • whether you have a free transfer or would take a points hit.

A predicted rise can make the timing urgent, but it does not make the underlying transfer good. Decide on the player first, then use the predictor to decide whether waiting is worth the risk.

Official predictor versus third-party price-change sites

The official tool has one major advantage: it is built from official FPL transfer data and integrated into the game.

That does not necessarily make every independent tool redundant. Third-party services can still differentiate through:

  • notifications before a likely change;
  • historical prediction accuracy;
  • daily price-change histories;
  • combined transfer, fixture and expected-points analysis; and
  • alternative views for planning several moves.

FPL has also said its own prediction remains a guide. The value of any predictor should be judged by how clearly it communicates uncertainty and how accurately it performs after calibration.

When do FPL prices change?

FPL price changes happen at 00:00 UK time. Official FPL price-change rules say a player can rise or fall by £0.1m in one daily update and by up to £0.3m in a Gameweek.

The predictor's percentage is designed to show who is approaching the next change. Check it close enough to the update to use current information, but do not let a possible £0.1m move override a better transfer decision.

Our FPL defensive contribution guide explains another new-season factor to consider when comparing players.

If your group would rather draft unique squads and trade players during the season, Draft Fantasy for the Premier League supports auction and snake drafts, waivers, trades and custom scoring. Read the 2026/27 launch guide for the full setup.

Create a 2026/27 Premier League Draft Fantasy league.

FPL Price Change Predictor: quick answers

Where is the FPL Price Change Predictor?

Log in to the Fantasy Premier League website and select Price Changes in the main navigation.

Does 100 per cent guarantee a price change?

No. It indicates that a player is expected to pass the threshold, but transfers can move the percentage before the midnight update.

How frequently does the predictor update?

The predictor page updates every 15 minutes. Player prices change at 00:00 UK time.

How much can an FPL player's price change?

A player can rise or fall by £0.1m per day and by up to £0.3m in one Gameweek.

Want a fantasy game where players move between managers through waivers and trades instead? Start your Draft Fantasy league.